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Predicting
the effects of Technology on Society
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This is a dialogue
discussing the Bill Joy article "Why the Future Doesn't Need Us..."
Allowatjc: I think
Bill Joy's article " why the future doesnt need us gives a pretty good
prediction dont u
Whttgr04: well,
I agree with some of his points, about ethics, but I think he is overreacting
Allowatjc: I think
he has a good read on the pulse of technology...
Allowatjc: he is
part of it..
Whttgr04: Yes he
is a part of technology but trying to make predictions about the future
is impossible...
Whttgr04: No one
can foresee the future
Allowatjc: You know
The Times of London said the article could be compared to Einstein’s 1939
letter to the president warning about the nuclear bomb.
Allowatjc: And the
fact that a scientist of his stature stood up and confronted such potential
problems, proves there is most likely truth in what he says
Whttgr04: Maybe,
but to me it says he is feeling guilty because his research and work might
one day lead to possible disasters. He is thinking “what if” and it’s making
him paranoid. Frankly, I think Joy is more concerned with the ethics of
scientists and what dangers they could cause than with the actual technologies
themselves. Plus you know that they say people are afraid of the unknown.
Well, people don't know the future or what it holds so therefore they are
afraid of it. Joy should not overreact though saying that the human race
with be over thrown by robots or some kind genetically engineered creatures.
Allowatjc: true,
but the only real check and balance of new technologies is the ongoing
education of policymakers and the public. As Scott McNealy, CEO, Sun Microsystems
has stated, "Joy has made a habit of predicting and inventing the future.
Nearly 20 years before almost anyone else, he knew the world would be built
around the internet. Given his track record, maybe we all need to spend
more time thinking about the issues he addressed...."
Allowatjc: And Bruce
Sterling, author, Distraction has said that Bill Joy is having an " I am
Death, the destroyer of worlds" moment. So maybe his eyes have been opened
to the monster he has helped spawn and we just can’t see it yet.
Whttgr04: Well,
why worry about something that may be? People are so concerned bout the
future they are blind to the present.
Allowatjc: Hmm…well
I think we do need to think about could happen. Kieran Cloonan, product
development analyst, Private Business has said, "will the future be more
Star Trek or Blade Runner? ...both have seemed out of range...but as Ray
Kurzweil is to Bill Joy, so Joy is to me, and I am forced now to throw
open the book on possibility."
Allowatjc: This
is all that is asked of humanity look into these possibilities and have
an in-depth discussion of these very real issues.
Allowatjc: people
are driven by technology...
Allowatjc: Sherry
Turkle, professor of the sociology of science, MIT says that, " ...in our
everyday experiences with technology that give us ' objects to think with.'...the
problem is that most people arent seeing the big picture... I believe that
if people were encouraged to reflect more about human uniqueness, the idea
of being replaced by robots would seem more problematic."
Whttgr04: I think
Joy fears what humans will do with the technology not the technology itself...Robots
are not the "next big threat to mankind" as Richard Wallace, botmaster,
Alice chat robot says. "Most people working in robotics...are barely scratching
out a living...Our small startouts are hardly as threatening as nuclear
proliferations"
Allowatjc: yes,
but these people as they also stated, " the last thing we need right now
is more government regulations...." these people are only concerned about
making another almighty dollar.
Whttgr04: Well so
is the rest of society! It is the American Dream to "make it big"...
Allowatjc: right
the ‘American Dream’ is about money and materialism, but what makes it
so bad in the GNR (genetics, nanotechnology, robotics) fields, is that
"the scientist are so worried about if they can, they don't stop to think
if they should." =-O
Allowatjc: quote
from Jurassic Park
Whttgr04: I agree
most heartedly with that, but, according to Michael Lyons, senior corporate
counsel, US Surgical, "It seems that people look at the increasing power
of computers as some kind of revolutionary force of nature that can't be
stopped...computers themselves can’t 'evolve' on their own- yet. So this
is not an uncontrollable 'force of nature'; it is something still within
the control of human beings, and our moral and ethical concerns should
guide our decisions". If this quote scares you, it should. It scares me
cause I know that the morals of our country stink and I think Joy is scared
because of this too. It is not the technology that will hurt us it is our
ethics and how the lack of them will influence our decisions.
Allowatjc: True
we do have ethical problems
Allowatjc: but if
the tech becomes sentient then we will have a bigger problem
Allowatjc: we have
a hard enough time teaching our children right and wrong, obviously look
at all the criminals, can u image trying to teach a robot, keep it under
control. Humans haven’t created anything bug free anyway.
Whttgr04: If we
cannot even teach our children from right and wrong as you say, then maybe
America should stop worrying about the future and worry about the present
and clean up society
Allowatjc: Maybe,
but then there also has to be a halt of these technologies that are rushing
us into the future so blisteringly fast that no one has time to see potential
problems and say ‘maybe we shouldn’t do that’
Allowatjc: just
like silicon valley has taught us if u kept moving fast enough no one has
time to keep up with the problems u are creating until its to late
Whttgr04: Well,
Roger Frank, a mathematics/computer science teacher at Ponderosa High School
in Parker Colorado says "I've been using Joy's article in my classroom.
I teach several AP classes with [bright] kids. It amazes me how...the kids
just don't want to think or talk about [the issues Joy raises]"
Allowatjc: this
is exactly why we must voice these concerns so that they will be forced
to think about them, these are people that will so be running the place
we must see to it that they think ahead
Whttgr04: In my
opinion Americans are just to indifferent to society anyway, and as Joy
says, society has a "bias toward instant familiarity and unquestioning
acceptance...of scientific breakthroughs" In that case, people will either
not care about what happens in the future, or like all other technologies
will accept them.
Allowatjc: thats
a valid opinion but my point is that is discussion should be carried on,
on a much larger scale, among the people that can effect can
Whttgr04: yes but
look at generation x and y, nobody seems to care anymore. we should pay
more attention to our kids instead of having our heads in the tv, internet
or other technology
Allowatjc: my point
exactly we need to talk, communicate... otherwise we are doomed
Allowatjc: Chris
S. Markham, release engineer, Adobe says that venture capitalists can take
the lead by asking the hard ethical questions along with the hard revenue-stream
questions.
Whttgr04: yes, but
don’t just talk about technology. Growing up is not an easy thing. I hated
my life between the ages of 13 and 16. I would not repeat them for anything.
If someone came to me and asked me about robots or genetic engineering
at those ages, I would turn my back on them. Adults seem to have forgotten
what it was like to be young- that or either times are just harder now-
my point is though is that adults and adolescents are growing apart. Adults
needs to bridge this gap through communication relevant to them, and that
is not through talking about technology
Allowatjc: this
maybe true, the speech should be couched toward the appropriate audience,
but i think that’s an American short fall...
Allowatjc: there
was a letter to the editor of wired where Joy's article was published,
from schoolchildren in Italy that were girls and boys of 14 years of age.....
Allowatjc: i think
this speaks of the society... its how the adult population looks at the
kids... and how they except them to respond and act...
Whttgr04: how so?
Allowatjc: if the
adults expected them to understand, take an active role in the discussions,
and such...
Allowatjc: then
the kids would grow into that mold
Allowatjc: they
would full-fill those expectations
Whttgr04: These
are children from Italy, naive young children, who have read only one argument
on this topic. If you want them to be active in discussions then you will
have to appeal to them some how, make technology interesting; however,
as I mentioned before, most young adults don't care about society or technology.
This is not necessarily a flaw, it's just that they have other things on
their mind, other things that seem more important- like discovering who
they are.
Allowatjc: i hate
technology
Whttgr04: yeah me
too
Whttgr04: lets burn
our ‘puters
Allowatjc: ok
Whttgr04: you know
what i hate the most
Allowatjc: what
Whttgr04: television!
Allowatjc: english
Allowatjc: oh
Whttgr04: its the
devil
Allowatjc: true
Allowatjc: true
Whttgr04: its ALL
lies
Whttgr04: ‘cept
for jeopardy
Allowatjc: :-D
Whttgr04: and Bravo
Allowatjc: :-\ u
know i'm not a luddite or anything, but if i were faced with a future like
that portrayed by Snow Crash, i dont think that I would want to be a part
of it
Whttgr04: no, me
neither
Whttgr04: you know
my philosophy is that humans subconsciously try to distract themselves
from thinking about anything important- meaning that they would rather
be sucked into their computers and DVD's and their imaginary world- why
do you think that is?
Allowatjc: because
alot of people arent equipped to deal with the real issues... its the same
reason alot of people drink their lives away... or the reason some people
never have a deep conversation... its always hi and bye and how are you
... when they really dont care... and wont stay around long enough to listen
and hear the truth anyway.... most people are just plain shallow... they
fill their lives with non stop action and 'stuff ' so that their mines
will be to busy to realize that its an empty life
Allowatjc: >:o hey
do u hear me out there.... :-( stop and think it wont kill u
Allowatjc: but the
alternative might
Whttgr04: I think
it's because they haven't searched to find their purpose in life. I am
still searching for mine.... Yes I agree, you think all those scientist
are 'inventing' stuff to distract them?
Allowatjc: yes
Whttgr04: Hmmm
Allowatjc: well
as you can see there is alot of discussion that can be had over this topic,
so as Joy said I would like this subject to be discussed elsewhere in other
forums. Our english teacher certainly got the message. Bill, we're talking
about the problems arent we? well this me signing off, for tonight, onward
and out we go carrying the word, like apostles of Joy, into the dark, uncertain
future... keep babbling
Whttgr04: And keep
thinking too!
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